Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.155649 0.184882 0.217696 0.257200 0.303414 0.355707 0.419308
2025-06-15 0.114343 0.152298 0.199591 0.262611 0.344123 0.445707 0.581598
2025-06-22 0.089702 0.130255 0.184899 0.263410 0.372731 0.518879 0.728264
2025-06-29 0.071938 0.112315 0.170397 0.259223 0.390637 0.576672 0.858435
2025-07-06 0.059158 0.098468 0.158358 0.255080 0.405905 0.630213 0.986512
2025-07-13 0.052620 0.092668 0.156832 0.265508 0.442880 0.718129 1.173582
2025-07-20 0.048914 0.090631 0.160561 0.284142 0.494179 0.832605 1.413112
2025-07-27 0.044644 0.086797 0.160537 0.296157 0.535555 0.935021 1.643475
2025-08-03 0.039160 0.079805 0.153924 0.295626 0.555081 1.002837 1.822739
2025-08-10 0.033211 0.070905 0.142516 0.284730 0.554598 1.035825 1.944766
2025-08-17 0.027826 0.062184 0.130124 0.270134 0.545189 1.051420 2.036550
2025-08-24 0.024961 0.058142 0.126178 0.271142 0.564928 1.121146 2.232739
2025-08-31 0.021189 0.051724 0.116948 0.261227 0.563984 1.155540 2.373237
2025-09-07 0.019282 0.049161 0.115436 0.267188 0.595947 1.257058 2.655053
2025-09-14 0.017227 0.045865 0.111811 0.268044 0.617305 1.339751 2.908190
2025-09-21 0.015106 0.041996 0.106272 0.263791 0.627034 1.399597 3.120798
2025-09-28 0.013285 0.038530 0.101106 0.259580 0.636165 1.458862 3.337892
2025-10-05 0.012522 0.037702 0.102158 0.270181 0.680124 1.596947 3.736887
2025-10-12 0.012237 0.038134 0.106403 0.289124 0.745736 1.788879 4.271919
2025-10-19 0.011626 0.037528 0.107889 0.301338 0.796661 1.952862 4.760128
2025-10-26 0.010515 0.035243 0.104598 0.300798 0.816262 2.047126 5.098732
2025-11-02 0.009127 0.031834 0.097703 0.289722 0.808005 2.075353 5.286605
2025-11-09 0.007789 0.028296 0.089862 0.274884 0.788105 2.073501 5.402639